Planning & Risk

XRP's 203 Red Days: What Trump's 'Bad Day' Comment Reveals

Trump said he never talks about the market on a bad day. The video counts 203 red XRP days in one year. What the full record shows, plus a monthly habit.

Video: XRP's 203 Red Days: What Trump's 'Bad Day' Comment Reveals

Key takeaways

  • According to the video's count of Coin Metrics data, XRP closed lower on 203 of 365 days between May 23, 2025 and May 23, 2026.
  • By the video's count, XRP fell more than the Nasdaq's 2.6% drop of October 22, 2026 on 75 of those days.
  • Per the video, XRP fell about 65% from its highest daily close of roughly $3.55 in July 2025 to about $1.23 in February 2026.
  • Borrowed bets did the most damage on October 10, 2025, when more than $19 billion of leveraged crypto positions were forced closed.
  • Record your portfolio value on the same day each month, track the gap from your highest value, and note what you did on the worst days.

President Trump told a rally in Northern Kentucky on October 17, 2026 that he talks about the stock market when it is good and stays quiet when it has a bad day. A Bullrunners video uses that admission to look at XRP’s full year. By the video’s count of Coin Metrics prices, 203 of 365 days closed lower.

The point is not politics. The video argues that most holders do what Trump described. They remember and share the green days and look away from the red ones. Without the real number, it is hard to have a plan for the days that actually test it.

What did Trump say about bad market days?

Trump said he uses the stock market as a talking point when it is good and does not mention it when it has a bad day. He added that there have not been many bad days. He was speaking about the stock market and 401(k) accounts. The video describes these as workplace retirement savings plans, and many American workers have one.

The video stresses that it is not singling out Trump. In its view, politicians on every side have always promoted the good numbers and gone quiet on the bad ones, and Trump simply said it more openly than most.

At the same rally, Trump told a story about a man who checked his 401(k) after a long time and found he was up 61% in a year. The man’s wife now thought he was a great investor, though he said he had not done anything. The video sees a familiar pattern here. A rising market made someone look skilled, when much of the gain came from the tide.

Is the 401(k) record real?

Yes. Fidelity administers more 401(k) plans than any other firm. It said the average balance on its books hit a record of about $155,800 in the second quarter of 2026, which covers April to June.

There is a catch. Fidelity’s figures also showed that 19.5% of workers had an outstanding 401(k) loan in 2026, slightly up from a year earlier. A record average balance does not mean everyone feels better off.

The video also plays a clip from October 16, the day before the rally. Speaking outside the White House, Trump described the best stock market “for a big majority of the days.” The video points out that even this boast admits some days are not good. Every market, including the strongest runs, is built from bad days as well as good ones.

What happened on October 22, 2026?

US stocks had a bad day five days after the rally. The S&P 500 fell 1.2% and the Nasdaq fell 2.6%. According to CNBC, that was the S&P 500’s biggest one-day percentage drop since July 29 and the Nasdaq’s biggest since June 5.

The main worry was how much large tech companies are spending on artificial intelligence. Meta, the company behind Facebook, fell 7%, and higher oil prices added pressure. The video keeps this in proportion. It was one bad day after a strong run, and CNBC noted that names like Apple and Visa hit record highs on the same day.

For most people who hold a spread of shares, a day like that is simply part of investing. The video’s point is that a 2.6% drop makes the evening news for stocks. For XRP, a fall that size is fairly ordinary.

How have Trump’s posts moved XRP?

According to the video, Trump’s posts have moved XRP in both directions. On March 2, 2025, he named XRP in a post about a US crypto reserve, and the price jumped.

The day the video asks holders to remember is October 10, 2025. Trump posted that the US would add an extra 100% tariff on goods from China. A tariff is a tax on imports. Markets fell hard. More than $19 billion of leveraged crypto positions were forced closed within 24 hours, which data provider CoinGecko calls the largest liquidation event on record.

The video says XRP closed that day down nearly 15%, from about $2.81 to about $2.40, based on Coin Metrics daily prices. Per the video, XRP had bounced to a close of about $2.61 by October 13, still well below where it started.

The video’s lesson is about who got hurt most. Holders who did nothing had a painful day on paper. Traders who had borrowed to bet bigger were forced out and never got the chance to wait, and many had felt safe after a long run of good days. Bullrunners has covered similar ground in what leveraged crypto ETFs teach about liquidations.

How many red days did XRP have in a year?

According to the video’s count of Coin Metrics closing prices, XRP closed lower on 203 of 365 days between May 23, 2025 and May 23, 2026. Crypto trades every day, including weekends, so that covers a full calendar year.

Measure (May 23, 2025 to May 23, 2026) Figure per the video
Days XRP closed higher 162
Days XRP closed lower 203
Days XRP fell more than the Nasdaq’s 2.6% drop 75
Highest daily close About $3.55 on July 21, 2025
Lowest daily close About $1.23 on February 5, 2026
Fall from top to bottom About 65%
One of the best days July 17, 2025, close almost 16% higher

The video asks which of those days ended up in people’s screenshots. Picture a holder who only opened the app on strong green days, such as early January 2026. That holder would feel good even while the coin sat about a third below its July 2025 high. The months when XRP lost roughly two-thirds of its value would be missing from memory, and those months are where the real decisions needed making.

None of this says where XRP goes next, and the video is clear that nobody honestly knows. What it shows is what holding XRP actually felt like over a full year, rather than a highlight reel. For how a fall like that relates to recovery, Bullrunners has a guide to the break-even math after a 50% drop.

Why do holders remember the green days?

Losses hurt more than gains feel good. The video cites psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, who found that a loss tends to hurt roughly twice as much as a gain of the same size feels good. So people do not just enjoy green days more. They actively avoid looking at red ones.

The video also gives a recent example of the feeling of skill a rising market creates. According to the video, XRP closed at around $0.51 in early November 2024 and above $3.20 by mid-January 2025. Someone who bought before that run and did nothing felt like a genius. The video suggests some people then made much bigger bets because they believed the skill was theirs.

The everyday version is familiar. On a big green day, holders open the app twice before breakfast, take a screenshot and tell a friend. After a bad week, they close the app and hope things sort themselves out. Asked how their crypto is doing, they answer with the best day they remember, not a real number.

A simple monthly record for the bad days

The video suggests a short habit that fits on one page of a notebook or a note on your phone:

  1. Pick one day each month and record your crypto’s value. The first of the month is easiest. Write down what it is worth on that day, whatever color the screen shows, rather than on the best day of the month.
  2. Write down your portfolio’s highest-ever value and how far below it you are. The aim is not to make you feel bad. It is so a large fall never takes you by surprise.
  3. On the worst days, write one line about what you actually did. Did you sell, buy more, sell everything, or do nothing and go for a walk?

The video says that over a year, the page will show your own patterns in your own words. That teaches more than any screenshot.

One settings change supports the habit. Many crypto apps open on the 24-hour change in large green or red numbers. That single-day scoreboard pulls you in on good days and pushes you away on bad ones. Check your app’s settings or portfolio page for a view of what you paid in and your total gain or loss. If the app has one, make that the first number you see. It moves more slowly and is less exciting, but it is closer to the truth.

What to watch next

The next sharp market drop, in stocks or crypto, is a good time to check your own record. Note the value on your chosen monthly date, compare it with your highest value, and write down what you did. Watch how statements from political leaders move markets, and notice whether you react differently to good and bad news. For a worked example of thinking through a large fall in advance, see Bullrunners’ article on a plan for a 30% XRP drop.

As the video puts it, a portfolio is not a rally. You are allowed to look at all of it, green days and red ones alike.

Frequently asked questions

What did Trump say about the stock market on bad days?

At a rally in Northern Kentucky on October 17, 2026, President Trump said he talks about the stock market when it is good and does not talk about it when it has a bad day. He added that there have not been many bad days.

How many red days did XRP have in a year?

According to the video's count of Coin Metrics daily closing prices from May 23, 2025 to May 23, 2026, XRP closed higher on 162 days and lower on 203 days. The video says XRP fell by more than 2.6% on 75 of those days.

What happened to XRP on October 10, 2025?

Trump posted that the US would add an extra 100% tariff on goods from China, and markets fell hard. More than $19 billion of leveraged crypto positions were forced closed. The video says XRP closed down nearly 15% that day, from about $2.81 to about $2.40.

Did 401(k) balances really hit a record in 2026?

Yes. Fidelity said the average 401(k) balance on its books hit a record of about $155,800 in the second quarter of 2026. Fidelity's figures also showed 19.5% of workers with an outstanding 401(k) loan, slightly up from a year earlier.

Why do investors avoid looking at losing days?

The video cites psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, who found that a loss tends to hurt roughly twice as much as a gain of the same size feels good. The video argues this is why people check their apps on green days and avoid them on red ones.

Full video transcript

From the video's captions, lightly formatted. Captions can mishear names and numbers, so check figures against the article above.

You know, they say he always uses the sock mark. Well, actually, I do when it's good. If it's bad, I don't use it. You if it has a bad day, I never talk. We don't have too many bad days, by the way.

I'll give him this. Not many people in public life would admit that on stage. And that was the President Trump we just saw at campaign rally in Northern Kentucky on the 17th of October in 2026 this year. So, you can see he was talking about the stock market and about people's 401ks, which are the retirement savings accounts that pretty much most American workers get through their jobs. And then he simply came out with it.

Trump says he never talks about the market on a bad day. And before anyone gets crossed, I'm not here to have a go at Trump, right? Politicians on every side have always shouted about the good numbers and gone quiet on the bad ones. He simply said it more honestly than most in my opinion. And if you hold XRP, there's more in this for you than you might think.

Trump said the quiet part out loud and it was about bad market days. And we do it too to be honest, right, with our own coins. Here's a number to sit with, right? Over one full year of daily prices from late May 2025 to late May 2026, XRP had 203 red days. That's 203 red days in one year and nobody posts about them.

So, I'm going to show you what that hides, including the night that one of Trump's posts helped knock nearly 15% of XRP in a single day. Now, I've also popped a link in the description, too. I'm going to explain what it does once we've looked at the days that never make it into the speeches. Because let's be honest, right, with all of us, when XRP is a big green day, a lot of us open the app twice before breakfast, take a screenshot, we tell a friend, we run around and we we might even work out what we'd be worth if it did that again. Then it has a really bad week and we leave the app, we shut it down, we hope it sorts itself out, we hope that what we see we don't see again.

So when somebody asks how our crypto is doing, we tend to answer with the best day that we could remember. We don't actually answer with a real number. And without the real number, it's very hard to have any kind of plan. Trump's wider point of the rally was that the market has been very good to ordinary savers. And to show it, he told the crowd about a man he'd met the day before.

This one man said to me yesterday, he said, "You know, I looked at I hadn't looked at it in a long time. I looked at my 401k. I'm up 61% in the last year." 61%. And my wife loves me. She thinks I'm a great investor.

She never thought I was a good She'd always say, "You don't know anything about money." Now, I said, "I just hit 61." And sir, I didn't do anything.

Now, I love that story because the man in it is honest as well. All right. According to Trump, he was up 61% and he said himself he didn't do anything. Now that's a wonderful year, but look at what happened next. His wife decided he was a great investor and I suspect he quite liked hearing it.

A rise in market made him look clever and I think most of us, to be honest, have been that man at some point. Now, in early November 2024, XP closed at around 51. By the middle of January 2025, hit closed above $320. If you'd bought before that run and done nothing at all, then you felt like a genius. And I guess plenty of people made much bigger bets because they thought the skill was theirs and when a lot of it was the tide.

Now there's a reason we fall into this. The psychologists Daniel Kanman and Amos Tverki found that a loss tends to hurt roughly twice as much as gain of the same size feels good. So we didn't just enjoy the green days more. We actively avoid looking at the red ones because looking at them it hurts. That's the honest.

And as always guys, this is not financial advice. Please do your own research. like if you're bullish and what do you say we get into this? [music] So, back to the first thing in the description, guys, before we get into the deep, deep, deep, deep dels of this. All right, it's aimed squarely at the habit that we've just been talking about. Now, I am not telling you to buy XRP. That is a fact.

I am not telling you to buy any token. There may be better opportunities for you than what I can say on this video, but whatever you hold, the bad days are where you find out what you actually have if it has a plan. Now, a real one has answers ready for them. And how far would you let a coin fall before you did anything? Which coins would you add to a bad day?

And which you trim on a great one. How much of your money should be in crypto in the first place is another question. If those questions draw a blank, then that's normal. It's not crazy. Oldcoin Pro is our course.

We walk you through making the plan for the coins you actually own. So the red days part of it from the start instead of just a nasty surprise that catches you off guard. Now, here's what to do. Click the link in the description, fill in the short form, then book your free 15-minute call, and someone from the team will go through your own strategy and your own situation with you. If you're watching this on your phone, guys, tap more and under the video is going to see that first link.

Book it when the red days are fresh in your mind. Not once a big green day has made a plan feel, let's say, pointless. Right, let's get back to it. All right, back to Kenuga because it's only fair to check his claim before we go any further. Now, at the rally, Trump told the crowd that 401ks were at the highest point they'd ever been.

And on the figures we have, he's got a point. Fidelity, one of the biggest companies that runs those accounts, said the average 401k balance on its books, hit records of about $155,800 in the second quarter of this year. That means it covers April to June. So the good news he talks about, yeah, it's real, but there's a catch. There's always a catch, right?

In some figures, according to the reports on them, more savers were borrowing from their 401ks, which tells you that a record doesn't mean everyone feels rich. Maybe the opposite. And on a day before the rally on the 16th of October outside the White House, he put it like this.

The best business, the best investment, the biggest investment, the best stock market for a big majority of the days. It's been an incredible period of time.

Did you catch that one? Right. For a big majority of the days, even in the Bose, there's an admission that some days are not good. And that's how every market works. Even the best runs are built out of bad days as well of good ones.

So, what does that mean for the bad days? What do they look like? Well, 5 days after the rally, the market had a really bad one. Check this out.

The S&P 500 saw its biggest 1-day percentage drop since July 29th. The Nasdaq since June 5th.

That was CNBC after the close on the 22nd of October, 2026. The S&P 500 fell 1.2%. NASDAQ dropped 2.6%. 6%. The big worry was artificial intelligence, right?

Investors were nervous about how much tech giants are spending on it. Meta, the company behind Facebook, fell 7%. Higher oil prices didn't help either. And to keep in proportion, it was one bad day after a strong run. CNBC pointed out plenty of famous names like Apple and Visa, right?

They hit record high on the very same day. But it's exactly the kind of day Trump told the crowd in Kentucky he doesn't talk about. And to be fair to the market, for most people with a spread or shares in their position, a day like that is simply a bad day. It's part of the deal, right? And here's the thing for us.

A drop like the NASDAQs on the 22nd of October makes the evening news. And for XRP, a fall that size is a fairly ordinary day. And I'll show you exactly how ordinary in a moment. Trump Post have moved XRP before in both directions. And the best was known on the 2nd of March 2025.

If you all remember, let me know. When he named XRP in a post about a US crypto reserve and the price jumped, but the day I want you to remember the most is the one where it went down. On the 10th of October 2025, Trump posted the American would put an extra 100% tariff on the goods from China. A tariff is simply attacks, if you don't know, on imports. Markets fell hard that day.

I remember it clearly. It hurt. And that came part of the really hurtful time for crypto holders. Now, according to widely reported figures, about 19 billion dollars of borrowed crypto bets were forced to close in a matter of hours. And that's the biggest wipe out of its kind on record.

XRP closed that day down nearly 15% from $281 to about $240 according to the coin metrics daily prices. Now, there was a bounce a few days later. By the 13th of October 2025, it had closed at about $261. But that was well below where it had been before, right? So, think about who got hurt most.

It wasn't the person who held their coins and did nothing. They had a horrible day on paper. It was the people who'd borrowed to bet bigger, often on a long run of good days that made them feel safe. Now, they didn't get the chance to sit it out. So, the same man's words have given XRP holders some of their best days and some of their worst.

And by his own account, the bad ones are not the days he talks about. So, let's do the thing Trump said he doesn't do. Let's look at the whole year. Bad days included. Coin Metrics publishes free daily prices and their figures run to late May 2026.

So, I took one full year of XRP closing prices from the 23rd of May 2025 to the 23rd of May 2026. A whole year. Crypto trades every day, weekends included. So, that's 365 days. On 162 of those days, XRP closed higher than the day before.

On 203, it closed lower. And on 75 of them, it fell by more than the NASDAQ did on the 22nd of October. That's its highest close on that year. It came at 21st of July 2025 at about $355. Its lowest came on the 5th of February 2026 at about $123.

So from the top to the bottom, that's a 65% gone. And one of the year's best days came on the 17th of July 2025, just before the top, when XRP closed almost 16% higher. Now guess which of those days ended up in people's screenshots. Picture a holder who only looks on the good days. If you only open the app on days like the 5th of January 2026, when XRP almost hit 30% higher, you'd see a big big big green number and feel pretty good.

Now, even though the coin was worth about a third less than it is in July 2025 high, you'd still feel good. The months in between when XRP lost roughly 2/3 of its value would be missing from your memory. That's exactly where the real decisions need making. None of this tells you where XRP goes next, and nobody honestly knows that, but it does tell you what holding it really feels like. It isn't highlights real, all right?

Although people might think it. More than half of the year's days were read, and you'd never have guessed it from the post. So, here's what I suggest. It sounds a bit grand, but it really just a page in a notebook or a note on your phone. First, pick one day each month, and the first of the month is the easiest, right?

Write down what your crypto is worth on that day. Whatever color the screen happens to be, not the best day of the month, that day, right? Second, next, write it down the most it's ever been worth and how far below that you are. This isn't there to make you feel bad. It's there so a big fall never takes you by surprise.

And third, guys, on the worst days, write one line about what you actually did. Did you sell? Did you buy more? Did you sell it all? Or did you do nothing and go for a walk over a year?

That page will teach you more about yourself as an investor than any screenshot can because you'll see your own patterns, the good, the bad, and the ugly. And they'll be in your own words. Now, there's one small thing worth doing, right? A lot of crypto apps open on the change over the last 24 hours in big green or red numbers. That's the scoreboard for a single day and it's the one that pulls us into checking on the good days and hiding on the bad ones.

Now, have a look in your app settings or portfolio page. Many of them will also show you what you've paid in and your total gain or loss. So, if yours does, make that number that you look at first. All right? Make it the number.

If it moves much more slowly, it's far less exciting. It's a lot closer to the truth. Now, Trump's job on stage in Kentucky was to win over a crowd. So, he talked about the good days. And I get it, right?

And he told everyone that's exactly what he does. Fair enough. And that's what a rally is for. But your portfolio is not a rally and nobody's voting on it. You're allowed to look at all of it.

The green days, the red ones, and the calst decisions tend to come from people who do that. Over to you guys now, right? What's the worst single day you've sat through holding XRP? And what did you actually do? Did you sell?

Did you buy? Let me know. Tell me in the comments, guys. And as always, stay bullish.

Education and commentary only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Do your own research and speak to a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Figures and quotes are as reported in the video on November 1, 2026 and may have changed since.