Fact Checks

XRP at $3,300? The SEC Petition Behind the Viral Number, Checked

A paper on the SEC's website puts XRP at $3,300. Who filed it, what the number really means, and why its own author says it isn't a price forecast.

Video: XRP at $3,300? The SEC Petition Behind the Viral Number, Checked

Key takeaways

  • The $3,300 XRP figure comes from a public petition (4-867) filed by Boyd Roberts of Big Picture Group, a Melbourne agency group, not a major US financial institution.
  • Anyone can petition the SEC, and posting a petition on its website does not mean the SEC agrees with it.
  • The paper labels the number 'Illustrative scale, not a price forecast' and treats the US buying 10 billion XRP as unconfirmed.
  • The author's 2025 version gave a 99.5% chance of a reset in a 12-day window. The dates passed, and he later wrote that the forecast was wrong.
  • Before trusting any 'filed with the SEC' price target, check who filed it, look for words like illustrative or scenario, and check the author's last prediction.

A paper on the SEC’s website that values XRP at $3,300 is a public petition written by one person at an Australian agency group. It is not a forecast from the SEC or a US bank. The author labels the number “illustrative scale, not a price forecast” and treats the key assumption behind it, a US purchase of 10 billion XRP, as unconfirmed.

The number spread fast because the math is tempting. According to the video, 1,000 XRP worth about $1,250 at the time would become $3.3 million at $3,300 a coin. The video goes through the 41-page paper to show who wrote it, what the figure actually represents, and whether any of it could reach a holder’s wallet. It also points to a line near the end where, the video says, the author warns readers not to concentrate their savings in XRP.

Where did the $3,300 XRP claim come from?

The $3,300 XRP claim comes from petition 4-867, listed on the page where the SEC publishes rulemaking petitions. According to the video, the paper surfaced on X on September 19, and the first posts described it correctly: a named author and a petition sent to the SEC. The video says a large XRP account warned the same day that it was “not an SEC XRP price target.”

The video says a new version of the story appeared about 58 hours later. It was the same paper with the same number, but now the author was described as “a major US financial institution.” The video notes that the warning came first and the bigger claim came after, with no explanation for the change.

Who filed the petition with the SEC?

The name on the filing is Boyd Roberts of Big Picture Group, a brand and digital agency group in Melbourne, Australia, where Roberts is listed as group director. The claim that a major US financial institution filed the paper is false.

“Filed with the SEC” also sounds more official than it is. Any person can send the SEC a petition asking for a rule change, and the SEC posts those petitions online. Posting one does not mean the agency agrees with it. According to the video, the first version of this petition reached the SEC about 14 months earlier, and there has been no public response since. That silence shows only that nobody at the SEC has backed the petition publicly.

The video is also fair to Roberts. He put his own name on the paper and labeled the number clearly.

Why does an XRP paper start with gold?

The theory starts with gold because of an old accounting gap. On the US government’s books, each ounce of its gold is still valued at $42.22, a price set by law decades ago. The video puts gold at around $3,875 an ounce when it was made. At that price, the gold is carried at roughly $11 billion on paper but is worth around $1 trillion at market. Marking it up would grow the government’s balance sheet by close to a trillion dollars without buying anything. That is what people mean by “revaluing the gold.”

The video points to real context behind the idea:

  • Federal Reserve staff published a note last year on countries that have revalued their official reserves.
  • The Bitcoin reserve bill, H.R. 8957, originally included a study of buying Bitcoin by revaluing the gold certificates the Treasury issued to the Fed at that same $42.22.
  • A March executive order last year created a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a separate US Digital Asset Stockpile for other coins the government holds.

The paper connects those real pieces and adds a price target for XRP. That mix of real documents and speculation is why many careful holders took it seriously.

What does the $3,300 number actually represent?

The $3,300 figure is an illustration, according to the paper itself. On page 22, directly above the number, it says in capital letters: “Illustrative scale, not a price forecast.”

The illustration works like this. Roberts assumes the US holds 10 billion XRP and values each coin at $3,300, which comes to $33 trillion. He then marks US gold up to a far higher price and adds the two together. The theory starts with gold, yet about 83% of the total ends up being XRP. Even the gold portion requires gold to be worth several times today’s price.

Those 10 billion XRP are only the coins the paper imagines the government holding. A holder’s 1,000 XRP would be worth $3.3 million only if every other XRP traded at $3,300 too. As the video puts it, any price per coin is always a claim about the entire market cap. Bullrunners has covered what XRP market cap math shows for big targets in more detail.

Did the author’s earlier prediction come true?

No. The 2025 version of the petition, sent last summer, said there was a 99.5% chance of a reset between August 26 and September 6. According to the video, it also told readers to position in bridge assets such as XRP ahead of a public repricing. The window opened and closed with no reset and no announcement from the Treasury, the Fed or the SEC.

Roberts returned with a paper eight times longer. On page three he wrote: “Those dates passed. The forecast was wrong.” According to the video, he added that the error was not that sovereign asset revaluation is impossible. In other words, he sees it as a timing mistake. The video credits him for admitting it. It also notes that the model’s record is one dated call that didn’t happen, so calling it a proven model is false.

The new paper still mentions one date. According to the video, page nine calls the US midterm elections “an incident, not a solvency deadline.” The video reads this as a suggestion that the midterms could give the government a reason to act. The midterms were held on November 3.

Has the US government said it will buy 10 billion XRP?

No. According to the video, Roberts calls the US acquiring 10 billion XRP the paper’s central unconfirmed hypothesis on page 14. The whole $33 trillion depends on that purchase, and there is nothing public behind it. The public record points the other way:

Item What it shows
Digital asset stockpile order XRP is not named. The government shall not acquire more stockpile assets except through forfeitures and penalties without further executive or legislative action.
H.R. 8957 Passed the House Financial Services Committee 28 to 21 in September, with gold certificate revaluation, Fed funding and tariff money removed as ways to buy Bitcoin.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Said in March last year, “we’re not revaluing the gold.” He did not comment on XRP.

Policy can change, and the video does not say this can never happen. It says only that every public document currently points the other way. Bullrunners has explained what H.R. 8957 means for XRP and how the Bitcoin reserve order treats other digital assets.

Would an official XRP value reach your wallet?

According to the video, no. The $3,300 is an official value, the figure a government would put on reserves it holds itself. The video says the paper leaves private actors, meaning people and businesses, outside of it. Gold shows how this works. The government books its gold at $42.22, but a dealer pays you the market price. If a government wrote its own XRP up to a large number, nobody would be obliged to pay you that for yours. Exchange prices only move when real buyers pay them.

The video says the paper’s own advice is plain. On page 36, according to the video, Roberts writes: “No one should interpret this scenario paper as a reason to concentrate savings in XRP, gold, or any single asset.”

The video says that one page earlier, Roberts lists nine signs that would support his scenario and five that would weaken it. One supporting sign is central banks being able to hold XRP as collateral. According to the video, none of the nine are on the public record.

A three-step check for any ‘filed with the SEC’ price target

The video offers a simple routine for the next viral filing:

  1. Check who filed it. The SEC’s petitions page shows the name on every petition.
  2. Look for a label next to the number. Words like “illustrative,” “scenario” or “hypothetical” mean you are reading a scenario, not a forecast.
  3. Check the author’s last prediction. Did it have a date, and did it happen?

The video also highlights what may be the paper’s most practical lines. It says the 2025 version mentioned secure cold storage. The 2026 version, in a section for individuals and businesses, mentions legal records, secure custody where appropriate and fraud risk. Viral price stories are where fraud tends to appear. Know where your XRP sits, know who holds the private keys, and don’t connect a wallet to anything just because a big number came attached. Bullrunners’ guide to spotting XRP scams covers the common tricks.

What to watch next

The author’s own list is the most useful yardstick. With the midterms now past, watch for any of his supporting signs, such as central banks being permitted to hold XRP as collateral. A change like that would be public, not quiet. Also watch for any SEC response to petition 4-867, and for any executive or legislative action that names XRP for the stockpile. If none of that appears, the paper remains what its author says it is: a scenario.

Frequently asked questions

Did the SEC set a $3,300 price target for XRP?

No. The figure comes from a rulemaking petition that a private individual sent to the SEC. The SEC publishes such petitions but did not write this one, and according to the video it has made no public response to it.

Who filed the $3,300 XRP petition with the SEC?

The name on petition 4-867 is Boyd Roberts, group director of Big Picture Group, a brand and digital agency group in Melbourne, Australia. The claim that a major US financial institution filed it is false.

Does the US government hold XRP in its digital asset stockpile?

The executive order that created the US Digital Asset Stockpile does not name XRP. It also says the government shall not acquire additional stockpile assets other than through forfeitures and penalties without further executive or legislative action.

Would a government valuing XRP at $3,300 change the price I get?

The video says no. An official value on a government's books does not set the market price, just as gold carried at $42.22 an ounce on US books has never changed what a dealer pays for a gold coin.

Did the author's earlier reset prediction come true?

No. The 2025 version gave a 99.5% chance of a reset between August 26 and September 6. Nothing happened, and in the 2026 paper the author wrote, 'Those dates passed. The forecast was wrong.'

Full video transcript

From the video's captions, lightly formatted. Captions can mishear names and numbers, so check figures against the article above.

There's a paper on the SEC's website right now that puts XRP at $3,300 a coin, and some of the posts sharing it say it was filed by a major US financial institution. But this isn't the first time this author has done this. Last year, he sent the SEC a shorter version, and that one came with a date, and it said there was a 99.5% chance of a reset inside of a 12-day window, and it told readers to get position in assets like XRP before it hit. Now, the window opened, then it closed. no reset, nothing. And this year, he came back with a paper eight times longer.

If you hold a,000 XRP, that $3,300 turns about $1,250 into $3.3 million. So, today we're testing all of it, who's really behind this, what that number actually is, and whether any of it reaches your wallet or not. And keep this in the back of your mind as we go on. Buried near the end of those 41 pages, the author wrote one sentence about what you should do with your savings. and it's nowhere near the $3,300 price target. And once you hear it, you'll see this whole paper differently.

So, if you're feeling blessed, if you're feeling bullish, give this video a like. And if you're going to become the first millionaire in your family tree, confirm it by subscribing to the channel and commenting 777 below. Let's run it. All right, bull runners. Welcome back to the channel.

So, to kick this video off, we're teaching our top 2026 altcoin trading strategies and giving you our altcoin picks early for this bull run through the first link in the description below. Check it out after this one. I know you're going to love it. Now, the paper surfaced on X on September 19th, and the first post got the basics right. They named the author and they called it what it is, a petition sent to the SEC.

And the same day, one big XRP account was already warning people plainly saying, "Not an SEC XRP price target." Then 58 hours later, a new version of the story showed up. It was the same paper, same $3,300 price target, but now the author was a major US financial institution. So, the warning came first. the bigger claim came after it and to this day nobody said why. But the claim didn't come out of nowhere. A lot of what sits underneath it is real and that's why so many smart holders took it seriously.

Now let's start with the filing itself. It really is on the SEC's website listed as petition 4-867 on the page where the SEC publishes rulemaking petitions. So why does a paper about XRP spend so much time on gold? Because the whole theory starts with gold and with a number most people have never heard. On the US government's own books, every ounce of its gold is still valued at $42.22.

That price was set by law decades ago, and it's never been updated. Today, an ounce of gold sells for around $3,875 at the time of making this video. So, on paper, all of that gold is worth around 11 billion. In the real market, it's worth around $1 trillion. So, sit with that for a second.

Close to a trillion dollars is sitting in the gap between two numbers on a government spreadsheet. Mark that gold up to today's price and the government's balance sheet grows by almost a trillion dollars without buying a single thing. That's what people mean when they talk about revaluing the gold. And it's been taken seriously in Washington, too. Federal Reserve staff published a note last year on countries that have revalued their official reserves.

And when the Bitcoin Reserve Bill HR8957 was introduced in Congress, it included a study of buying Bitcoin by revaluing the gold certificates. Those are the certificates the Treasury issued to the Fed for that same gold at the same $422. Then there's an order from March last year. It set up a strategic Bitcoin reserve. And right next to it, a separate US digital asset stockpile for other coins the government holds.

So picture how all this looks if you hold XRP and it lands in your feed. a real filing, a trillion dollar gap in American gold, a real bill, and a real stockpile. Someone took all four, connected them, and put a price target on XRP and sent it to the SEC. So, who is he? Now, when you hear a major US financial institution, you probably picture a big American bank or a Wall Street fund, right? Well, the name on this filing is Boyd Roberts from a company called Big Picture Group.

And Big Picture Group is a brand and digital agency group in Melbourne, Australia. Roberts is listed as its group director. So, the claim that a major US financial institution filed this is false. It came from one person at an Australian agency group. Now, what about the SEC itself?

Because filed with the SEC sounds official, like an ETF, and that's the big part of why this spreads so fast. Any person can send the SEC a petition asking it to make a change or a rule. The SEC posts those petitions on its website, and posting one doesn't mean that it agrees with what's inside of it. The SEC didn't write this paper. In the first version of this petition reached the SEC 14 months ago.

In all that time, there's been no public response at all. No statement, no comment, nothing on record from the SEC. That silence doesn't tell you the SEC likes the idea. All it tells you is that nobody there has backed it in public. And to be fair to Roberts, none of this makes him dishonest here.

He put his own name on the paper and he was upfront about the number two because right above the $3,300 price, he printed exactly what it is. Which brings us to page 22, the page that ended up all over XRP social media. Right above the $3,300 price in capital letters, it says, "Illustrative scale, not a price forecast." So, think about that for a moment. The number that went viral as a price prediction comes with a warning label written by the man who made it. In his own words, it's an illustration. and reading it as a price prediction is where the story went wrong.

Because here's how the illustration works. He takes 10 billion XRP and gives each one a value of $3,300. That comes to $33 trillion. Then he takes America's gold, the same gold that's still sitting at $422 on the books, marks it up to a far higher price, and adds the two together. And remember, this whole story starts with gold.

But when you add it up, 83% of the total is XRP. Gold ends up as a smaller part. And even that small part needs gold to be worth several times what it's worth today. Then there's the part that matters for your own coins. Those 10 billion are only the XRP the paper imagines the government holding.

So your,000 XRP only becomes 3.3 million if every other XRP out there is worth $3,300 too. And if every XRP in circulation were worth that, the total would be around $29 trillion. That's roughly five times the entire US national debt. And that's true of any price per coin. It's always a claim about the whole market cap.

And here's what bugs me about all of this. If $3,300 was only ever meant as an illustration, why did the first version of this paper come with a 99.5% and a real date on the calendar? Because last summer, this paper read like a countdown timer. Picture being an XRP holder in August last year. A petition shows up sent to the SEC saying there's a 99.5% chance of a reset between August 26th and September 6th.

And on page five, it told readers to position and bridge assets like XRP ahead of the public repricing. So, a percentage, a 12-day window, and an instruction. If you saw that going around, you know how specific it sounded and how urgent it was. Then August 26th came, September 6th came, and nothing happened. No reset, no repric, and no announcement from the Treasury, the Fed, or the SEC.

Most people would have let it go after that, but Roberts did the opposite. He came back with 41 pages. And on page three of the new paper, he explains why in his own words. He wrote, "Those dates passed. The forecast was wrong." Now, you don't see that often in crypto.

But he didn't stop there. He wrote that the error was not that sovereign asset revaluation is impossible. So, in his eyes, he got the timing wrong. But the idea still stands. That's how he explains coming back.

And that's fair to him, but it still leaves this model with a track record of one dated call and that call didn't happen. So, the claim that it's a proven model is false. And there's still one date in the new paper. On page nine, it talks about the US midterm elections. It calls them an incident, not a solvency deadline.

So, in plain English, he's saying the midterms could give the government a reason to act. And the midterms were on November 3rd. So, think about that. A theory that already watched one window close, now is watching another one close right in front of it. Now, all of this comes down to the one piece the whole $3,300 price rests on.

Has the US government ever said it once, 10 billion XRP? The paper answers that one itself. On page 14, Roberts calls the US acquiring 10 billion XRP the paper's central uniformed hypothesis central because the whole $33 trillion depends on it. And it's unconfirmed because there's nothing public behind it. Now, let's look at what is public.

The US really does have a digital asset stockpile. It was set up by a signed executive order and it holds coins other than Bitcoin. But when you read that order, XRP isn't in it. The order doesn't name XRP at all. And it goes further.

It says the government shall not acquire additional stockpile assets other than through forefeertures and penalties without further executive or legislative action. So getting to 10 billion XRP would take a brand new decision and nobody in the government has announced one yet. Then there's the gold side in Congress. If you remember that Bitcoin bill with the gold certificate study in it, well in September the House Financial Services Committee passed it 28 votes to 21. And in the version that passed, the gold certificate revaluation was gone.

And so was Fed funding and tariff money as ways to buy Bitcoin, which means the bill that people point to for a gold revaluation now leaves it out. And the man whose department would have to carry out any re-evaluation has been asked about it straight out. In March last year, Treasury Secretary Scott Bassant said this

and all the gold books said he's going to re he's going to revalue the gold. I I can say today we're not revaluing the gold.

Now policy can change. And to be fair, he was talking about gold. He never said a word about XRP either way. So I'm not saying this can't happen. What I am saying is that every public document points the other way right now.

And the author himself calls this part unconfirmed. So you can decide how much weight that deserves. And even if every price of it happened tomorrow, there's still the question that matters most to you. Would any of it actually reach the XRP that you're holding? The $3,300 is an official value.

The value a government would put on reserves it holds itself. And the paper leaves private actors outside of that. Now, private actors means people and businesses. That's you. Go back to the gold for a second.

On the government books, it's $42.22 an ounce. But if you walk into a dealer today with a gold coin, they'll pay you based on the market price around $3,875. The number on the government's books has never changed what you get. Now, XRP works the same way. If a government ever wrote its own XRP down at a huge number, nobody would have to pay you that for yours.

The price you see on an exchange only moves when real buyers pay it. So, the claim that your XRP gets $3,300 from this struggles to find the evidence to back it. Even the paper doesn't say it does. It's a hypothesis. But if this paper doesn't promise your XRP anything, what does it actually tell you to do?

Well, Roberts answers that as well near the very end. It's the sentence I mentioned at the start of this video. On page 36, he writes, "No one should interpret this scenario paper as a reason to concentrate savings in XRP, gold, or any single asset." So, let that sit for a second. The man who wrote the price target is telling you not to pile your savings into XRP because of it. So, that's in his own words near the end of his own paper, and it's a long way from how this number got shared.

Then one page before that, he lists what would support his scenario. And there's nine signs that would confirm it, like central banks being able to hold XRP as collateral and five that would weaken it. As of today, not one of those nine is on the public record. So, put it all together and the most honest reading of this paper comes from the paper itself. His last forecast was wrong.

The key piece is unconfirmed. The number comes with a warning label, and the author says it's no reason to load up. Now, I'm not here to be the bearer of bad news. A shot of truth can be harder to take than a tall glass of comforting lies. So, we're always going to shoot you straight on this channel.

So, what do you actually do with all of this? Well, the next time you see filed with the SEC next to a big XRP price target, check three things. First, who filed it? The SEC's petitions page shows the name on every single one. Second, look for the label next to the number.

Words like illustrative, scenario, or hypothetical. If you see one of them, you're looking at a scenario created by a community member. Third, check the author's last prediction. This one might have a date on it. And the author is the one who told you it was wrong before.

And with the midterms, watch them against his own list. Central banks being allowed to hold XRP as collateral wouldn't happen quietly. If one of those nine signs show up, it'll be public and you'll know exactly where to look. If none of them do, the scenario stays just that, a scenario. Now, there's one more thing, and it might be the most useful line in either version of this paper.

In 2025, he wrote, "Secure cold storage." In 2026, in a part written for individuals and businesses, he talks about legal records, secure custody where appropriate, and he warns about fraud risk. Viral price stories are exactly where fraud shows up. So, know where your XRP sits, know who holds the private keys, and don't connect your wallet to anything just because a big number came attached to it. Now, think about what a lot of holders went through over the last few weeks. You saw $3,300.

You ran the math on how many coins you hold and maybe for a minute you pictured it. A,000 XRP, 3.3 million. Maybe you hold 20,000 XRP, 50,000, 100,000. You're imagining all the properties you're going to buy, the private islands you can purchase, vacations you can take with your family, you name it. And all along, the warning label was printed on the same page.

These price predictions are designed to build hope within you. And going from hope to feeling like you got played is a horrible feeling. And it's not your fault. You get the screenshot and the 41 pages behind it are left for you to figure out by yourself. So that gap in this market specifically for XRP holders is exactly why we built a private intelligence network.

We read filings like this cover to cover before they ever reach this channel. So that way members know what the whole paper says, warning labels and all. While everyone else is still sharing the screenshot, hyping everybody up, creating an echo chamber, virtually nobody is sharing the truth. And the XRP you already hold doesn't have to sit there waiting for a great reset. Members inside of our intelligence network learn how to earn yield on their idol crypto.

We do weekly live trading and technical analysis coaching so that way you can understand how to read the charts, which means the next 99.5% countdown timer never decides when you buy or sell based on someone else's prediction. You understand market structure, volume, divergences, you name it. Then we run you through a full custody strategy the institutions leverage to keep your crypto safe. So that way your private keys stay yours and every single member in our program is qualified with $50,000 or more in crypto. That means the next filed with the SEC post gets checked with people who take this as seriously as you do.

So when the next big price prediction hits, you got a choice here. You can find out weeks later that the prediction didn't come true the hard way. Or you can know what's behind it before you ever hit share and get your hopes up. So, if you want to be the one that actually knows how to operate in this market, regardless of these crazy price predictions, if you want to get our top altcoin picks early, then there's a short free video to watch through the link below. If it makes sense, you can book a strategy call with an expert on my team and we'll get you plugged in with our intelligence network.

Now, if you try and book a call and the calendar's full, you'll just have to check back in 24 to 48 hours because those fill up very quick. But, we'd love to help you out. We'd love to work with you. I appreciate you for watching this video. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.

I'll see you on the next one. I'll see you at the top. As always, you know what to do. Stay bullish. Hey, hey, hey.

Education and commentary only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Do your own research and speak to a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Figures and quotes are as reported in the video on November 7, 2026 and may have changed since.